While the analysis still says “no fold” if you eliminate all draw holdings, there is almost no way (like 99.99%), he has a draw other than Ah Qh or Ah Jh. He'd have to be a complete anomaly on this particular site at this particular time. No one on the site in question at the limits I'm playing get frisky with their draws. They always check and call with draws, maybe bet out half the pot. But a check-raise? It's happening so rare you can ignore it. Now, since gutshot straight flush nut draws don't come that often, so I can throw in the specific two hands I mention because they are rare enough to excite some player, but generally speaking, these are meek players who do the obvious.

That said, we're all in agreement that unless I can virtually eliminate KT from the mix based on the action, I have to call because there's too many KT combinations.

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shipitfish

November 2016

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