Without going into Rory's numerics (which I agree with), I think it's pretty clear that you played this hand poorly on the flop.
You put him on a small range of hands, none of which include a flopped flush. So basically at this point he's either drawing on you, or he's got you beat with a higher set. He's much more likely to be drawing.
It seems what really happened was you decided to try to swap some EV by trading for a reduced variance. You wanted to take another card off the deck and make sure it wasn't a spade before you shoved your chips in.
Also, has the "I showed my hand to get a reaction" move ever worked for you? It just seems like a bad move to me. You have a bad habit of letting people in on your dirty little secret that you'll make huge laydowns. This just plants a huge seed in the minds of all the people who just love to bluff.
Further, although I realize this was a big pot, the dramatic "show my hand" move hurts your image. It basically eliminates the possibility that you're just a quiet dude relaxing on the weekend. It instantly transforms you into somebody trying a move you heard about somewhere, be it TV, a book, or an old Texas roadhouse.. Afterwards, you might as well turn to your neighbor and announce that although you were getting 2:1, you estimated the odds that he had AA, KK, a straight or a flush as being worse, especially when you include the odds of him hitting his flush on the river.
Anyway, I liked the post, and that sure was an absolutely horrible flop for your hand. I would have been sick too to see that.
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Bad flop play
Date: 2006-12-09 02:09 (UTC)You put him on a small range of hands, none of which include a flopped flush. So basically at this point he's either drawing on you, or he's got you beat with a higher set. He's much more likely to be drawing.
It seems what really happened was you decided to try to swap some EV by trading for a reduced variance. You wanted to take another card off the deck and make sure it wasn't a spade before you shoved your chips in.
Also, has the "I showed my hand to get a reaction" move ever worked for you? It just seems like a bad move to me. You have a bad habit of letting people in on your dirty little secret that you'll make huge laydowns. This just plants a huge seed in the minds of all the people who just love to bluff.
Further, although I realize this was a big pot, the dramatic "show my hand" move hurts your image. It basically eliminates the possibility that you're just a quiet dude relaxing on the weekend. It instantly transforms you into somebody trying a move you heard about somewhere, be it TV, a book, or an old Texas roadhouse.. Afterwards, you might as well turn to your neighbor and announce that although you were getting 2:1, you estimated the odds that he had AA, KK, a straight or a flush as being worse, especially when you include the odds of him hitting his flush on the river.
Anyway, I liked the post, and that sure was an absolutely horrible flop for your hand. I would have been sick too to see that.