well, here is my thought process and i suck at no limit of course but here we go
you guys have 1000 in front, preflop betting knocks it to 925 pot is like 225 after his 75 bet to kind of round everything off.
you put him on ak or aa or kk or maybe jj. you beat aa and jj. you lose to kk, so if he's even money to have jj or kk it doesnt matter really what you do. if he can have AK with the A of spades and whatever then there is like no chance he is not putting his money in since he has top pair and a flush draw and a gutterball to the nuts. i'd like to get all the money in right now, and i think he will do it with any of the hands you put him on. since i am viewed as slightly loose i hope that he will stack off with AK with no spade and i will lose him on the turn if a spade drops because i might be viewed as a retard too. i think he'll probably fold if i make a big bet and he has ak no spade but he might move in thinking i was semi-bluffing. he will go all in with AK with a spade probably since he has a million outs even if i have two pair. he will go all in with KK but oh well. also with JJ he will go all in. so i want to try to get it in right now and a big reraise on the flop is the best way.
board: KsQsJs Hand Pot equity Wins Ties AsA,KK,AsK 57.54% 4,992 270 QcQh 42.46% 3,648 270
taking away JJ gives him about 12% points in equity, so if you think he has JJ like half as often as KK then you're like just about 50/50 so gogogogo. Toss in that he stacks off sometimes with two pair or something if he played a hand weird or some AK no spade or AA no spade hand I think it's time to shove and cross your fingers.
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Date: 2006-12-08 21:04 (UTC)you guys have 1000 in front, preflop betting knocks it to 925
pot is like 225 after his 75 bet to kind of round everything off.
you put him on ak or aa or kk or maybe jj. you beat aa and jj. you lose
to kk, so if he's even money to have jj or kk it doesnt matter really what you do. if he can have AK with the A of spades and whatever then there is like no chance he is not putting his money in since he has top pair and a flush draw and a gutterball to the nuts. i'd like to get all the money in right now, and i think he will do it with any of the hands you put him on. since i am viewed as slightly loose i hope that he will stack off with AK with no spade and i will lose him on the turn if a spade drops because i might be viewed as a retard too. i think he'll probably fold if i make a big bet and he has ak no spade but he might move in thinking i was semi-bluffing. he will go all in with AK with a spade probably since he has a million outs even if i have two pair. he will go all in with KK but oh well. also with JJ he will go all in. so i want to try to get it in right now and a big reraise on the flop is the best way.
vs his range:
AA-JJ,AK 31.56% 6,921 1,155
QcQh 68.44% 15,684 1,155
assuming he folds AK with no spade:
AA-JJ,AsK 40.56% 5,697 651
QcQh 59.44% 8,502 651
assuming he folds AA with no spade:
AsA,KK,JJ,AsK 45.19% 5,121 495
QcQh 54.81% 6,264 495
assuming he never has JJ:
board: KsQsJs
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
AsA,KK,AsK 57.54% 4,992 270
QcQh 42.46% 3,648 270
taking away JJ gives him about 12% points in equity, so if you think he has JJ like half as often as KK then you're like just about 50/50 so gogogogo. Toss in that he stacks off sometimes with two pair or something if he played a hand weird or some AK no spade or AA no spade hand I think it's time to shove and cross your fingers.