While I did think something similar to dank, I primarily took issue with:
I'm don't think you have a single spade at all and I'm going to call you with this ace. I felt very confident he didn't have spade; not totally sure, but well over 70%. But, when I added to that the likelihood that he'd call anyway with an Ace because he suspected a bluff, I decided that I'd have to fold.
It's dangerous to factor in "what if the other player makes an incredible play and somehow calls me here with very little." If that really was the main problem that you saw, then you should have fired a big shell.
It's different if you're up against a total donk who calls anything. But if that were the case then I assume you wouldn't have tried this play anyway. I'm assuming you tried it because you thought that Dan would be able to make such a laydown if the cards presented an opportunity.
But then it seems that the cards did present the *perfect* opportunity, but you passed it up anyway?
the possible call with no spade
Date: 2006-02-24 20:12 (UTC)It's dangerous to factor in "what if the other player makes an incredible play and somehow calls me here with very little." If that really was the main problem that you saw, then you should have fired a big shell.
It's different if you're up against a total donk who calls anything. But if that were the case then I assume you wouldn't have tried this play anyway. I'm assuming you tried it because you thought that Dan would be able to make such a laydown if the cards presented an opportunity.
But then it seems that the cards did present the *perfect* opportunity, but you passed it up anyway?