I never seen "math" and "reads" as contradictory forces. I use reads
more than I used to, but always in relation to the odds. I try to
estimate the odds that my read is correct, and then compare that to the
pot odds. This works better in NL than limit, because the pot odds in
limit are often tough to pass up when there is doubt in your mind due to
a read. So, I tend to play reads more in NL where I'm less inclined to
make a too-loose call due to a read. So, I would tend to say Barry's
mistake is misreading Dan, such that Barry believed his read that Dan
had a weaker draw was right 50% of the time.
no subject
Date: 2006-02-02 19:27 (UTC)I never seen "math" and "reads" as contradictory forces. I use reads more than I used to, but always in relation to the odds. I try to estimate the odds that my read is correct, and then compare that to the pot odds. This works better in NL than limit, because the pot odds in limit are often tough to pass up when there is doubt in your mind due to a read. So, I tend to play reads more in NL where I'm less inclined to make a too-loose call due to a read. So, I would tend to say Barry's mistake is misreading Dan, such that Barry believed his read that Dan had a weaker draw was right 50% of the time.