This stems from several things, one being our hundreds of hands played together (albeit years ago). Note that this is just an opinion, but considering your only-two-hour read of a somewhat solid, fundy player, your bet screams of flopped set/two pair or complete bluff, imo. Why? (a) you don't have AA or KK, and (b) you don't have a T or flopped flush.
You will only be called/check-raised by better hands than yours, except for JJ or AK. Where's the ev there?
Why the constant bet-pot play? Would/can you think about 175/225 here? Against a 'good' player it is a lot more scarier than the auto-bet-pot and much easier for a traditioinal player w/ AsKx to call. FYI - I'm pushing or folding to your $300 here unless I have an actual hand (all three of which you don't want, and no, it wouldn't be poorly thought).
Given his play, I would have been deathly scared of AA.
I prob would have thought about the 175 bet but would have checked. It makes river play a helluva lot more read-dependent, but imo the right play given stack sizes, your read, your holding, etc. The auto-bet-pot does not work against even slightly more sophsticated players.
no subject
Date: 2006-12-08 01:53 (UTC)This stems from several things, one being our hundreds of hands played together (albeit years ago). Note that this is just an opinion, but considering your only-two-hour read of a somewhat solid, fundy player, your bet screams of flopped set/two pair or complete bluff, imo. Why? (a) you don't have AA or KK, and (b) you don't have a T or flopped flush.
You will only be called/check-raised by better hands than yours, except for JJ or AK. Where's the ev there?
Why the constant bet-pot play? Would/can you think about 175/225 here? Against a 'good' player it is a lot more scarier than the auto-bet-pot and much easier for a traditioinal player w/ AsKx to call. FYI - I'm pushing or folding to your $300 here unless I have an actual hand (all three of which you don't want, and no, it wouldn't be poorly thought).
Given his play, I would have been deathly scared of AA.
I prob would have thought about the 175 bet but would have checked. It makes river play a helluva lot more read-dependent, but imo the right play given stack sizes, your read, your holding, etc. The auto-bet-pot does not work against even slightly more sophsticated players.
Just a thought...